MortiES' EOD 17Jul2009 ~ What Time is It?
July 17th, 2009at 9:28 pm
This chart is all about time ~ with one important caveat. Remember we are not responsible for the movement of ES but we can analyze what it does. Wave 4’s are unpredictable except for the guideline of alternation which applies here. That simply means that if W2 is a simple Zig-Zag (ABC), then expect W4 to be a complex correction. Complex correction is another term for “beat the tar out of you if you trade it!” Remember, I said to do as I suggest not as I do. I never did take my own advise well. Anyone who tells you they picked up 10+ points today probably has a bridge to sell you too.
One of the greatest obstacles I have to overcome as a trader is my lack of patience. We know where you are going market ~ so go there! That is why I love the MOB and Ellipse studies. They have a time function. Fibonacci time projections are also useful. On this chart, I’ve combined fib time with my expected retracement for W4 to get a target zone (highlighted in green). If, and I do mean if!, we are in the W4 we’ve been waiting for, then this is a good target to keep before us.
Comments are always welcome and even constructive criticism. When you ask questions, I’d really appreciate a chart to go along with it when appropriate. It really helps me see exactly what you are talking about! I hope to do some longer term analyses this weekend, but it’s my Grandson’s birthday and I may have a hard time finding time.
Categories: Markets

Love the chart and commentary regarding do as i say not as i do
Looks like you and Rich have done a thorough job “covering the bases”
Thanks!
Mortie,
Great work as always. Here’s my take on this. Should we break your wave b label, then I will take that as the beginning of w5 and not as an additional extention to w3. I would label your a-b-c as a triangle with a very short d-e to get to my w4 completion and also my alternation. If we break your C label on Monday first, then I also agree with you that we are in a complex w4. Our targets are nearly the same. Mine is 920-930 using a wave parity with w2, however, the only real concern for the bulls would be a drop below 910.
Have a great weekend!
Rich
http://ew-indextrader.blogspot.com/