Name: BostonWealth

Email:

Web Site: http://www.bostonwealth.net

Bio: Boston Wealth Management, LLC is an investment advisory firm providing portfolio management and financial planning services as well as stock markety commentary along with fundamental and technical anlayses on the financial markets. 1982 Graduate University of Kansas 1989 Graduate George Washington University (Master's Degree) Boston Wealth Management provides the following advisory services: Financial planning services Portfolio management for individuals and/or small business


Posts by BostonWealth:

    Stock Price Analysis

    Written by BostonWealth
    March 6th, 2010 at 2:19 am

    Click Here for Presentation >>>>>>>>>>>>>>  Stock price  Do not hit the enter button to continue, instead click the “next” button on the bottom right when watching the presentation.

    Prescient trading

    Written by BostonWealth
    February 26th, 2010 at 1:50 am

    Presceint trading today

    Positions with potential for gain/loss

    Written by BostonWealth
    February 25th, 2010 at 1:17 pm

    Up up and away! 10.6% return vs. -.75% on the S&P 500 so far this year

    Written by BostonWealth
    February 19th, 2010 at 7:38 pm

    Up up and away!

    10.6% return vs. -.75% on the S&P 500 so far this year; anyone looking for an investment adviser! Lol! I really am one!

    http://www.bostonwealth.net/managed-assets/

    Home run on SPX options!

    Written by BostonWealth
    February 19th, 2010 at 11:21 am

    http://www.bostonwealth.net/2010/02/18/potential-for-300000-profit-in-the-morning/

    So calculation from yesterday’s close!

    Sold to open

    SPX 1090 $17.80-$11.98 = $5.82 X 2,700 = $15,714
    SPX 1095 $13.00-$6.98 = $6.02 X 9,000 = $54,180
    SPX 1100 $7.50 -$1.98 = $5.52 x 3,000 = $16,560

    Total Gain: $86,454

    Bought to open

    SPX 1115 $.45 x 9,000 = -$4,500
    SPX 1120 $.40 x 2,700 = -$1,080
    SPX 1130 $.05 x 3,000 = -$150

    Total Loss: -$5,280

    Change from close yesterday to open today as expiration as European Style Options: + $81,174

    Potential for $300,000 profit in the morning!

    Written by BostonWealth
    February 18th, 2010 at 5:53 pm

    They are European styled.. so when all 500 SPX stocks open.. that is the price you get! expires right after they all open! How about them apples!

    MortiES’ Premium: Now offering 30 day free trial period!

    Written by BostonWealth
    February 10th, 2010 at 8:00 am

    TRY THE THIRTY DAY FREE TRIAL PERIOD!!!

    Subscribers to MortiES’ Premium Content will have access to analyses of the e-Mini S&P (ES) authored by “Mortie”. Analyses and comments will be posted at times during the day and/or night that is deemed timely by Mortie. Specific buy and sell recommendations will not be given.

    Monthly subscription runs for a month from the day you subscribe, regardless of the day you start,  and is not prorated.  

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    Feb. 10, 2010:  Track Record will be updated shortly

    Click to see MortiES' Track Record ~ Week of October 26, 2009

    Click to see MortiES' Track Record ~ Week of October 19, 2009

    Click to see MortiES' Track Record ~ Week of October 12, 2009

    Click to see MortiES' Track Record ~ Week of October 5, 2009

    Click to see MortiES' Track Record

    Click to see what Subscribers are saying

    S&P 500 here we come: 1250

    Written by BostonWealth
    January 27th, 2010 at 1:07 am

    I like this count and it is reinforced by my ever expanding data and need to attain that “Value of Perfect Information”
    Utilizing the information directly from S&P that can be found here:
    http://www.standardandpoors.com/home/en/us/
    Then click on the images below to see how to get to the excel spreadsheet after you register with S&P
    Ok so how did I get to 1250 which should happen very soon with the exceptional good earnings reports coming up that I anticipate.
    Ok.. look at the column that says Operating earnings bottom up for 2010 which adds up to $76.47 (this number is continuously changing as the earnings are fine tuned)
    Bottom up:S&P covering Equity Analyst estimate for specific issue, building from the bottom up to the index level estimate
    Top down:S&P estimate (Economics Dpt) incorporates models (economic, financial, policy), does not come down to issue

    Over the last 20 year period the index traded at an average of 19.4 times earnings, but you have to discount that because it included a 12 years bubble; so taking a longer term average of around 15 times earnings is more realistic.
    For the past 100 years the S&P 500 P/E multiple has been 16.37 times the trough earnings.
    So taking $76.47 x 16.37.. and presto you get SP500 at 1251.

    I have done a post in the past regarding operating vs reported earnings.. operating is what the bulls like to use…
    The “As Reported” number tells us a lot more about the slings and arrows the company endured during the reporting period while the Operating earnings number tells us more about their gross earning power
    When you hear the word earnings used by analysts, you need to understand the difference between the two types; “operating” and “as reported”.
    When calculating the Price Earnings Ratio (P/E) for the S&P 500 or any stock for that matter, the E in the P/E is vulnerable to major manipulation because the accounting method used to derive the earnings can be misleading to say the least. The S&P 500 P/E ratio reflects the performance expectations of the stock market.
    Just remember this:
    Bulls use “operating” earnings which are inevitably higher
    Bears use “reported” earnings, and as such, are inevitably lower

    Bulls use forward “operating” earnings for the next 12 months.
    Bears use the past 12 months of earnings to make their case. The advantage of that is obvious: it avoids the dependence on estimates of earnings going forward.

    The all important major difference?

    Bulls use “operating” earnings which exclude write offs.
    Bears use “reported” earnings which include write offs. As such this is by far the gold standard or interpreting earnings because these write offs that consist of miscellaneous non recurring one time charge and expenses typically take place almost every year.
    You might ask… well why isn’t Ben utilizing the data for reporting earnings! Simple! Because today and for this week I want to have my “Bull Cap” on!

    The bulls use “operating” earnings which are also known as “pro forma” earnings
    So the bears use “reported” earnings which is based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles or “GAAP”

    And this is how we get such a huge discrepancy between the bulls and the bears.

    A reason for bears to be happy

    Written by BostonWealth
    January 14th, 2010 at 12:11 am

    A reason for bears to be happy.. see the divergence in the attached chart. The 50 day EMA on the NYAD is not confirming this uptrend.. sure someone will send or comment that the cumulative is still up.. I have used this indicator to my advantage in the past.. just one piece in the “Value of Perfect Information”

    What caused me to stick to plan and have profit of $27,000 today?

    Written by BostonWealth
    January 12th, 2010 at 12:35 pm

    What caused me to stick to plan?

    1. Smart/Dumb money at extreme
    2. Equity Put/Call ratio at extreme
    3. % of NYSE above 200 DMA near extreme
    4. Divergence between NYAD and EMA 50 day

    5. Max option pain on SPY had been much lower the last few days
    6.. Sticking to plan that SPX 1142 was the high.. sure it overshoot.. but no pain ..no gain
    7. My favorite magazine , The Economist, having the bubble cover

    8. Most important: Mortie’s guidance  with Elliott Wave to give me the confidence.

    9.  This on an account that started at $150,000 last week.

    http://www.bostonwealth.net/2010/01/06/prescient-call/

    Sign up below to start your thirty day free trial to MortiES’ Premium Content!

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